How accurate is DataSnack?

DataSnack grades every seven-day forecast against standing still (assuming nothing changes) and publishes the record, misses included.

DataSnack's record

Last 30 days: how far off each one's seven-day number landed, how often it beat standing still, and how often the direction was right.

DataSnack's models: nothing graded yet · 86 changes taken
Scout: nothing graded yet · 75 changes taken
Razor: nothing graded yet · 11 changes taken
Auditor: 1308 objections

How accurate are prediction markets?

How often prediction markets came true at each price, by days before they closed (markets that resolved; buckets with fewer than 20 markets are left out).

1 days before close:

The market's number	Markets	Came true
0–10%	91	1%
10–20%	21	0%

7 days before close:

The market's number	Markets	Came true
0–10%	78	3%

30 days before close:

The market's number	Markets	Came true
0–10%	64	2%

Each model's own record is on its page, under "The record". The method: https://datasnack.ai/how-it-works.md

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/accuracy · Updated 10 Nov 2026 17:01 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.