# How accurate is DataSnack?

DataSnack grades every seven-day forecast against standing still (assuming nothing changes) and publishes the record, misses included.

## DataSnack's record

Last 30 days: how far off each one's seven-day number landed, how often it beat standing still, and how often the direction was right.

- **DataSnack's models**: nothing graded yet · 86 changes taken
- **Scout**: nothing graded yet · 75 changes taken
- **Razor**: nothing graded yet · 11 changes taken
- **Auditor**: 1308 objections

## How accurate are prediction markets?

How often prediction markets came true at each price, by days before they closed (markets that resolved; buckets with fewer than 20 markets are left out).


1 days before close:

| The market's number | Markets | Came true |
| - | - | - |
| 0–10% | 91 | 1% |
| 10–20% | 21 | 0% |

7 days before close:

| The market's number | Markets | Came true |
| - | - | - |
| 0–10% | 78 | 3% |

30 days before close:

| The market's number | Markets | Came true |
| - | - | - |
| 0–10% | 64 | 2% |

Each model's own record is on its page, under "The record". The method: https://datasnack.ai/how-it-works.md

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/accuracy · Updated 10 Nov 2026 17:01 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.