# Politics forecasts | DataSnack

Seven-day forecasts of prediction-market questions on elections, policy and government. Each is graded daily against standing still; every model's record, including its misses, is on its page.

- [Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:1e5074c6aca8): the market's number (Polymarket) 27%; DataSnack's model in seven days 26%
- [Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:2ee5aed5d88c): the market's number (Polymarket) 26%; DataSnack's model in seven days 38%
- [Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:23834360949b): the market's number (Polymarket) 18%; DataSnack's model in seven days 33%
- [When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:a510730860b2): the market's number (Kalshi) 69%; DataSnack's model in seven days 71%
- [US imports Russian diesel by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:6431a151672d): the market's number (Polymarket) 13%
- [Next leader out of power before 2027?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:6080f4bca483): the market's number (Polymarket) 44%; DataSnack's model in seven days 45%
- [Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:f8d0822f1879): the market's number (Polymarket) 3%; DataSnack's model in seven days 2%
- [Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:f5bf7f7dcc27): the market's number (Polymarket) 27%; DataSnack's model in seven days 44%
- [Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:19efd4ce32aa): the market's number (Polymarket) 91%; DataSnack's model in seven days 91%
- [Next Israeli government formed by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:725b1a234ae9): the market's number (Polymarket) 84%
- [Presidential Election Winner 2028](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:2c6401ec3989): the market's number (Polymarket) 17%; DataSnack's model in seven days 22%
- [Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:84c3cf2beac9): the market's number (Polymarket) 23%
- [Pete Hegseth impeached by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:bc0be250920f): the market's number (Polymarket) 88%
- [Next Press Secretary announced by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:2c08091ac872): the market's number (Polymarket) 77%
- [Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:0fcfe6c16d9e): the market's number (Polymarket) 22%
- [Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:a693e126ca57): the market's number (Kalshi) 42%; DataSnack's model in seven days 32%
- [Netanyahu out by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:6fd784e6ed0e): the market's number (Polymarket) 69%
- [US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:7ffa41a8f571): the market's number (Polymarket) 68%; DataSnack's model in seven days 70%
- [Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:6d136229c6e4): the market's number (Polymarket) 39%; DataSnack's model in seven days 55%
- [Next Prime Minister of Sweden](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:2d78ce1b3902): the market's number (Polymarket) 49%; DataSnack's model in seven days 73%
- [US-Iran nuclear deal?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:1cf7f33cfcfc): the market's number (Kalshi) 50%; DataSnack's model in seven days 49%
- [Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:3dcb42fed129): the market's number (Polymarket) 8%; DataSnack's model in seven days 7%
- [2028 popular vote margin of victory?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:708231553ac1): the market's number (Kalshi) 21%; DataSnack's model in seven days 40%
- [Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:58ad88447262): the market's number (Polymarket) 80%; DataSnack's model in seven days 74%
- [2028 Democratic presidential nominee](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:1a75172283e9): the market's number (Kalshi) 26%; DataSnack's model in seven days 25%
- [Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:6cda35493fcb): the market's number (Polymarket) 27%; DataSnack's model in seven days 28%
- [Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:417fec01291f): the market's number (Polymarket) 100%
- [Taipei Mayor Election Winner](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:a1d8d5eaa14c): the market's number (Polymarket) 66%; DataSnack's model in seven days 70%
- [Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:fdf0d0a451f9): the market's number (Polymarket) 9%; DataSnack's model in seven days 12%
- [Iran leadership change by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:b097a9270e28): the market's number (Polymarket) 23%; DataSnack's model in seven days 23%
- [What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:619efbc66783): the market's number (Polymarket) 14%; DataSnack's model in seven days 14%
- [Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:f2378a5a9329): the market's number (Polymarket) 24%; DataSnack's model in seven days 27%
- [Putin out as President of Russia by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:46ad74d21822): the market's number (Polymarket) 9%; DataSnack's model in seven days 9%
- [Venezuela leader end of 2026?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:ddcb241bf488): the market's number (Polymarket) 93%; DataSnack's model in seven days 92%
- [Next Prime Minister of Spain?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:c2d7489ed83f): the market's number (Polymarket) 93%; DataSnack's model in seven days 90%
- [Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:894458f31019): the market's number (Polymarket) 6%; DataSnack's model in seven days 23%
- [Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:68662dffd66f): the market's number (Polymarket) 2%; DataSnack's model in seven days 2%
- [Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:2a6fdbf9959d): the market's number (Polymarket) 42%
- [Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:347c315850bd): the market's number (Polymarket) 34%; DataSnack's model in seven days 30%
- [Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:8c2cc0612dd8): the market's number (Polymarket) 64%
- [NATO x Russia military clash by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:b921f889ee48): the market's number (Polymarket) 12%; DataSnack's model in seven days 12%
- [New Taipei Mayor Election Winner](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:7d90c2708f7c): the market's number (Polymarket) 61%; DataSnack's model in seven days 56%
- [Argentina Presidential Election Winner](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:e27a4717a840): the market's number (Polymarket) 45%; DataSnack's model in seven days 45%
- [Saudi airspace closed by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:041189bb7089): the market's number (Polymarket) 8%; DataSnack's model in seven days 6%
- [Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:24a37e24b503): the market's number (Polymarket) 30%; DataSnack's model in seven days 10%
- [Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:1b7032145c9f): the market's number (Polymarket) 91%; DataSnack's model in seven days 91%
- [2028 U.S. Senate winner?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:24bb917da3b9): the market's number (Kalshi) 87%; DataSnack's model in seven days 93%
- [2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:81285f75efe7): the market's number (Kalshi) 20%; DataSnack's model in seven days 23%
- [2028 Republican presidential nominee](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:bcd7ae1f6985): the market's number (Kalshi) 34%; DataSnack's model in seven days 34%
- [Next French Presidential Election](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:085fbe2b0a83): the market's number (Polymarket) 45%; DataSnack's model in seven days 43%
- [Republican Presidential Nominee 2028](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:716d5e5d69fa): the market's number (Polymarket) 31%; DataSnack's model in seven days 33%
- [US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:c03f76723da3): the market's number (Polymarket) 14%; DataSnack's model in seven days 9%
- [Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:7253e7ef1746): the market's number (Polymarket) 3%; DataSnack's model in seven days 2%
- [US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:2c10ef1bc13a): the market's number (Polymarket) 34%; DataSnack's model in seven days 38%
- [Next Press Secretary?](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:1b79fe0c1ec9): the market's number (Polymarket) 14%

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/areas/politics · Updated 10 Nov 2026 17:57 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.