Where will Gasoline at the pump, weekly be in seven days?

Where will Gasoline at the pump, weekly be in seven days? DataSnack's model says $3.88/gal (12 Nov 2026); it is $4.00/gal now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

Pump prices move slowly, and so far nothing has beaten assuming no change

Pump prices feed household budgets and business fuel costs, so a flat read matters for margins. The model's case rests on no input beating standing still: it was off 14¢ a day on average in the 60-day replay, against 8¢ for no change.}

The numbers

• Gasoline at the pump, weekly now: $4.00/gal
• DataSnack's model, seven days from now: $3.88/gal
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.
• Replay on the last 50 days: off by 12¢ against 9¢ for standing still; closer on 15 of 50 days
• Fitted on 156 days of history

How the model works

Retail gasoline follows the wholesale RBOB future with a delay, so the past week's change in wholesale gasoline moves next week's pump price from the latest pump price.

• About 0.402 of each week's move in wholesale gasoline reaches the pump over the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.4; the data say 0.402 ± 0.11, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data closely.

Fed by

• Wholesale gasoline future (its number now): About 0.402 of each week's move in wholesale gasoline reaches the pump over the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.4; the data say 0.402 ± 0.11, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data closely.

Sources

• US regular gasoline, retail (EIA): $4.00/gal on 9 Nov 2026
• Wholesale gasoline (RBOB) front-month future close (Yahoo Finance): $2.61/gal on 11 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 12 Nov 2026 for 19 Nov 2026: $3.88/gal

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says $3.88/gal seven days from now.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:01ed14abd88b.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:01ed14abd88b · Updated 12 Nov 2026 05:39 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.