# Where will Gasoline at the pump, weekly be in seven days?

Where will Gasoline at the pump, weekly be in seven days? DataSnack's model says $3.88/gal (12 Nov 2026); it is $4.00/gal now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**Pump prices move slowly, and so far nothing has beaten assuming no change**

Pump prices feed household budgets and business fuel costs, so a flat read matters for margins. The model's case rests on no input beating standing still: it was off 14¢ a day on average in the 60-day replay, against 8¢ for no change.}

## The numbers

- Gasoline at the pump, weekly now: $4.00/gal
- DataSnack's model, seven days from now: $3.88/gal
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.
- Replay on the last 50 days: off by 12¢ against 9¢ for standing still; closer on 15 of 50 days
- Fitted on 156 days of history

## How the model works

Retail gasoline follows the wholesale RBOB future with a delay, so the past week's change in wholesale gasoline moves next week's pump price from the latest pump price.

- About 0.402 of each week's move in wholesale gasoline reaches the pump over the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.4; the data say 0.402 ± 0.11, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data closely.

## Fed by

- [Wholesale gasoline future](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:a633de771fd5) (its number now): About 0.402 of each week's move in wholesale gasoline reaches the pump over the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.4; the data say 0.402 ± 0.11, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data closely.

## Sources

- US regular gasoline, retail (EIA): $4.00/gal on 9 Nov 2026
- Wholesale gasoline (RBOB) front-month future close (Yahoo Finance): $2.61/gal on 11 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 12 Nov 2026 for 19 Nov 2026: $3.88/gal

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** DataSnack's model says $3.88/gal seven days from now.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

**Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet?** Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:01ed14abd88b.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:01ed14abd88b · Updated 12 Nov 2026 05:39 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.