Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

DataSnack's model puts this at 96% seven days from now (8 Nov 2026); the market's number (Polymarket) is 96%. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

A Putin-Zelenskyy meeting needs a settlement framework that neither side has yet

A leaders' meeting would signal that sequencing is settled, which shapes European security and energy planning. The model's case rests on the no-meeting chance holding near 96%, with small pulls from ceasefire odds and Putin's tenure.sed

The numbers

• The market's number (Polymarket) now: 96% (the market)
• DataSnack's model, seven days from now: 96%
• The market closes: 1 Jan 2027
• How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus o…
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
• Replay on the last 47 days: off by 1.1 points against 1.4 points for standing still; closer on 27 of 47 days
• Fitted on 340 days of history

How the model works

The no-meeting chance mostly stays put, with a small pull from its own momentum, from ceasefire odds, and from the odds Putin leaves office.

• The no-meeting chance continues or reverses its own last-week move by 0.198 of that move. DataSnack's author expected 0.201; the data say 0.198 ± 0.065. A rough rule.
• When the ceasefire odds move, the no-meeting chance moves by 0.806 in log-odds of that move in log-odds. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.
• When the odds that Putin leaves office by mid-2027 move, the no-meeting chance moves by -1.28 in log-odds of that move in log-odds. DataSnack's author expected -0.9 in log-odds; the data say -1.28 in log-odds ± 0.75, fitted on the same days the replay scores. A rough rule.

Sources

• Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? · No meeting before 2027: 96% on 11 Nov 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? · November 30, 2027: 68% on 11 Nov 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by...? · June 30, 2027: 9% on 11 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 95%
• Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 95%
• Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 96%
• Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 96%
• Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 97%
• Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 97%

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says 96% seven days from now.

What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 96%.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:48b8a981c0ca.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:48b8a981c0ca · Updated 8 Nov 2026 05:56 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.