Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?
DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 100%. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
DataSnack's read
At 100%, the market is testing the resolution rules, not the rumor
The affair story has already cost Huang the CEO and board roles, a governance shock for NVIDIA. The model's case rests on the 100% starting point, with a light decay to 99% in case a report is not seen as qualifying.
The numbers
- The market's number (Polymarket) now: 100% (the market)
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 1 Jan 2027
- How it resolves: On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. Huang has since resigned as NVIDIA’s CEO and from its board. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying outlet publishes a qualifying report of…
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
How the model works
The market sits at about 100%, so the simplest honest model is that it stays there. A light hazard decay allows for the chance that the report is not seen as qualifying.
- With no new event this week, the chance shrinks as the window closes, at 0.2 of a constant hazard's pace. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.
Sources
- Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? · Yes: 100% on 13 Nov 2026
The record
It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
Waiting for their day:
- Made 13 Nov 2026 for 20 Nov 2026: 99%
Questions
What is DataSnack's forecast? There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.
What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 100%.
How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.
How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.
Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.
Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:66eb8a51123f.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.
Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:66eb8a51123f · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.