Pro Football: 2027 Champion
DataSnack's model puts this at 14% seven days from now (7 Nov 2026); the market's number (Polymarket) is 14%. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
DataSnack's read
A flat title race means each result can reprice the top of the board
With no team above 15%, one game can reorder the leaders. The model's case rests on the 49ers' 14% holding steady and following Jaguars AFC odds: 1.5 points a day off, against 1.6 for no change.
The numbers
- The market's number (Polymarket) now: 14% (the market)
- DataSnack's model, seven days from now: 14%
- The market closes: 1 Apr 2027
- How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however,…
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
- Replay on the last 60 days: off by 1.5 points against 1.6 points for standing still; closer on 40 of 60 days
- Fitted on 249 days of history
How the model works
The 49ers' championship chance mostly stays where it is over a week. It follows moves in the Jaguars' odds of winning the AFC, the strongest ranked market input, since title odds across contenders shift together.
- About 0.0366 in log-odds of each move in the Jaguars' AFC title odds shows up in the 49ers' championship chance a week later, as the top contenders' odds move together. DataSnack's author expected 0.2 in log-odds; the data say 0.0366 in log-odds ± 0.068. A rough rule.
Sources
- Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion · Jacksonville Jaguars: 14% on 10 Nov 2026
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion · San Francisco 49ers: 14% on 10 Nov 2026
The record
It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
Waiting for their day:
- Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 14%
- Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 14%
- Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 14%
- Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 14%
- Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 14%
- Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 14%
Questions
What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says 14% seven days from now.
What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 14%.
How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.
How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.
Can I download the model? Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.
Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:7493c225b081 · Updated 7 Nov 2026 03:47 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.