# Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 23% (10 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**Musk's weekly post count tracks the news he chooses to answer**

One owner's output on his own platform shows how politics and corporate news shape attention. The model's case rests on holding the 280-299 chance at 21% with no momentum, giving 12% in seven days.

## The numbers

- The market's number (Polymarket) now: 23% ([the market](https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-6-november-13-2026))
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 13 Nov 2026
- How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count towar…
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
- Fitted on 1 days of history

## How the model works

The market is new and nothing can be ranked yet, so the model keeps this bucket's chance where it is, with a slider for momentum over a one-day window.

- About 0 in log-odds of the bucket's latest daily move in log-odds carries forward over the next week. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

## Sources

- Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026? · 260-279: 23% on 10 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 12%
- Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 11%
- Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 12%
- Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 16%
- Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 16%
- Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 17%

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

**What is the market's number?** The market's number (Polymarket) is 23%.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:84c3cf2beac9 · Updated 10 Nov 2026 16:16 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.