# When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO?

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Kalshi) is 99% (12 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**Huang's exit is priced as near-certain; the open question is when**

A Huang succession would reset expectations for Nvidia's investors and partners. The model's case rests on no announcement this week, so its 96% for an exit before 2033 moves only slightly as the window shortens.

## The numbers

- The market's number (Kalshi) now: 99% ([the market](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxceonvda))
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 1 Dec 2026
- How it resolves: If the CEO of NVIDIA Corporation has announced, or it has been announced on their behalf, that they have left their position as CEO after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.
- Replay on the last 5 days: off by 47.8 points against 47.8 points for standing still; closer on 1 of 5 days
- Fitted on 5 days of history

## How the model works

With no event this week, the chance that Huang leaves before 2033 drifts only slightly as the window to the close shortens. The market is at 96% with about six years left, so a week of decay is small.

- With no announcement this week, the chance of an exit before 2033 moves toward its constant-hazard path at 1 of full speed as the window shortens. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

## Sources

- When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? · Before Jan 1, 2033: 99% on 12 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 12 Nov 2026 for 19 Nov 2026: 93%

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

**What is the market's number?** The market's number (Kalshi) is 99%.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

**Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet?** Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:ab61dd69f478.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:ab61dd69f478 · Updated 12 Nov 2026 05:46 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.