# Where will Diesel at the pump, weekly be in seven days?

Where will Diesel at the pump, weekly be in seven days? DataSnack's model says $6.05/gal (12 Nov 2026); it is $6.13/gal now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**Diesel pump prices are sticky, and no input yet beats assuming no change**

Diesel costs feed through freight and supply chains, so a steady $6.13/gal matters well beyond this market. The model's case rests on no input yet beating standing still: its 23¢ average miss over 60 days trails the 13¢ for no change.

## The numbers

- Diesel at the pump, weekly now: $6.13/gal
- DataSnack's model, seven days from now: $6.05/gal
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.
- Replay on the last 50 days: off by 20¢ against 14¢ for standing still; closer on 17 of 50 days
- Fitted on 156 days of history

## How the model works

Retail diesel follows wholesale diesel: last week's move in heating oil futures, the diesel benchmark, carries into next week's pump price on top of where the pump price stands now.

- About 0.367 of each week's move in heating oil futures reaches the diesel pump price the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.38; the data say 0.367 ± 0.15, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data roughly.

## Fed by

- [Wholesale diesel future](https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:531939861d22) (its number now): About 0.367 of each week's move in heating oil futures reaches the diesel pump price the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.38; the data say 0.367 ± 0.15, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data roughly.

## Sources

- US diesel, retail (EIA): $6.13/gal on 9 Nov 2026
- Heating oil (ULSD) front-month future close, the diesel benchmark (Yahoo Finance): $4.21/gal on 11 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 12 Nov 2026 for 19 Nov 2026: $6.05/gal

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** DataSnack's model says $6.05/gal seven days from now.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

**Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet?** Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:b93f47a69aff.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:b93f47a69aff · Updated 12 Nov 2026 05:39 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.