# Jensen Huang divorce by...?

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 10% (9 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**Huang's divorce odds price a scandal's spotlight, not a marriage in separation**

The number matters because the same scandal tests Nvidia's governance and China exposure. The model's case rests on decay: with no filing, the 10% chance by 31 December drifts to 11% in a week.

## The numbers

- The market's number (Polymarket) now: 10% ([the market](https://polymarket.com/event/jensen-huang-divorce-in-2026))
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 1 Apr 2027
- How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify. The resolution source will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Hu…
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026.

## How the model works

With no event this week, the chance of a divorce filing or announcement by 31 December shrinks as the remaining window shortens, so the number decays from where it stands.

- With no news this week, the chance of a divorce announcement shrinks as the window closes, at 1 of the pace of a constant hazard. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

## Sources

- Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? · Yes: 10% on 10 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 8%
- Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 8%

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

**What is the market's number?** The market's number (Polymarket) is 10%.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:bb78dab3f024 · Updated 9 Nov 2026 22:34 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.