Where will Ships through the Taiwan Strait be in seven days?
Where will Ships through the Taiwan Strait be in seven days? DataSnack's model says 237 ships/day; it is 237 ships/day now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
The numbers
- Ships through the Taiwan Strait now: 237 ships/day
- DataSnack's model, seven days from now: 237 ships/day
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
- Replay on the last 60 days: off by 29.8 against 35.7 for standing still; closer on 31 of 60 days
- Fitted on 359 days of history
How the model works
Daily crossings of the Taiwan Strait are a steady flow of commercial traffic that varies around a stable level, so the best guess is the latest count with a mild pull back after a jump. None of the ranked inputs has a physical path to this traffic, so the model uses only the series' own recent move.
- About 0.0185 of the last week's change in daily crossings carries into the next week, with a negative sign meaning a pull back toward the usual level. DataSnack's author expected -0.2; the data say 0.0185 ± 0.11. A rough rule.
Sources
- Taiwan Strait: ships crossing per day (IMF PortWatch): 237 ships/day on 8 Nov 2026
The record
It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
Waiting for their day:
- Made 13 Nov 2026 for 20 Nov 2026: 237 ships/day
Questions
What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says 237 ships/day seven days from now.
How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.
How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.
Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.
Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:bfe64a315714.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.
Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:bfe64a315714 · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.