# Where will Ships through the Taiwan Strait be in seven days?

Where will Ships through the Taiwan Strait be in seven days? DataSnack's model says 237 ships/day; it is 237 ships/day now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.

## The numbers

- Ships through the Taiwan Strait now: 237 ships/day
- DataSnack's model, seven days from now: 237 ships/day
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
- Replay on the last 60 days: off by 29.8 against 35.7 for standing still; closer on 31 of 60 days
- Fitted on 359 days of history

## How the model works

Daily crossings of the Taiwan Strait are a steady flow of commercial traffic that varies around a stable level, so the best guess is the latest count with a mild pull back after a jump. None of the ranked inputs has a physical path to this traffic, so the model uses only the series' own recent move.

- About 0.0185 of the last week's change in daily crossings carries into the next week, with a negative sign meaning a pull back toward the usual level. DataSnack's author expected -0.2; the data say 0.0185 ± 0.11. A rough rule.

## Sources

- Taiwan Strait: ships crossing per day (IMF PortWatch): 237 ships/day on 8 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 13 Nov 2026 for 20 Nov 2026: 237 ships/day

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** DataSnack's model says 237 ships/day seven days from now.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

**Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet?** Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:bfe64a315714.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:bfe64a315714 · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.