How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/1 - 11/7)

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Kalshi) is -0.5 number (7 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

Most of this week's signings are already known, so the count is nearly settled

The count shows how heavily the White House governs by directive, and a low reading signals a slower pace. The model's case rests on the implied count holding near 0.35, with about 0 of recent moves carrying forward.

The numbers

• The market's number (Kalshi) now: -0.5 number (the market)
• DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
• The market closes: 21 Nov 2026
• How it resolves: If the President signs above 0 executive orders during Nov 1, 2026 to Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
• Fitted on 4 days of history

How the model works

Nothing is ranked because the market is too new to measure, so the model is the simplest honest one: the implied count stays where it is, with a slider for momentum. The week ends 11/7, so most of its signings are already known to the market.

• About 0 of each recent change in the implied count carries forward over the next week. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

Sources

• How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/1 - 11/7) (the market's number): -0.5 number on 11 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 0.34 number
• Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: -0.26 number
• Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: -0.5 number
• Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: -0.5 number
• Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: -0.5 number
• Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: -0.5 number

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

What is the market's number? The market's number (Kalshi) is -0.5 number.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:d50f37b9cb90.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:d50f37b9cb90 · Updated 7 Nov 2026 07:15 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.