Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...?
DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 14% (9 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026.
DataSnack's read
Nvidia's board cannot easily remove a CEO it has no one to replace
The number tests key-person risk at a company whose board Huang effectively controls. The model's case rests on the closing window alone: with no announcement this week, the December 31 chance drifts down to 14%.
The numbers
- The market's number (Polymarket) now: 14% (the market)
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 1 Apr 2027
- How it resolves: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed, as CEO of NVIDIA. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position; resignation includes retiring or stepping dow…
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026.
How the model works
With no departure announced this week, the chance of an announcement by December 31 shrinks as the window to the deadline shortens. Nothing is ranked yet, so the model is the hazard decay alone.
- With no announcement this week, the chance shrinks as the window closes, at 1 of the pace of a constant hazard. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.
Sources
- Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? · Yes: 14% on 10 Nov 2026
The record
It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026.
Waiting for their day:
- Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 10%
- Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 12%
Questions
What is DataSnack's forecast? There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.
What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 14%.
How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.
How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 16 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.
Can I download the model? Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.
Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:e11f638d2ce4 · Updated 9 Nov 2026 05:37 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.