Worlds 2026 Winning Region

DataSnack's model puts this at 73% seven days from now (10 Nov 2026); the market's number (Polymarket) is 63%. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

Korea's title chance hinges on one final testing two regional routes

The November 14 final decides whether the LCK extends its run or the LPL ends a gap since 2021. The model's case rests on Knight's Finals MVP chance, and it beats standing still only 2.8 to 3.1 points a day.}

The numbers

• The market's number (Polymarket) now: 63% (the market)
• DataSnack's model, seven days from now: 73%
• The market closes: 1 Jan 2027
• How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026). If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship). Regions counted in World 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
• Replay on the last 46 days: off by 2.8 points against 3.1 points for standing still; closer on 22 of 46 days
• Fitted on 291 days of history

How the model works

The LCK chance starts at the current price and follows the week's move in the Finals MVP market for Knight, which reacts to bracket results as they land and was the strongest-ranked input in the scan.

• Each weekly move in Knight's Finals MVP chance shifts the LCK's title chance by about 0.33 in log-odds in log-odds, since a Knight run points to a Korea-China final. DataSnack's author expected 0.35 in log-odds; the data say 0.33 in log-odds ± 0.16, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data roughly.

Sources

• Worlds 2026: Finals MVP · Knight: 14% on 10 Nov 2026
• Worlds 2026 Winning Region · LCK (South Korea): 63% on 10 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 65%
• Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 55%
• Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 55%
• Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 85%
• Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 71%
• Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 73%

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says 73% seven days from now.

What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 63%.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:e64cb7cdc748 · Updated 10 Nov 2026 06:36 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.