Largest Company end of November 2026?

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 90% (10 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

Apple leads because it sits outside the AI trade, not because its lead is wide

The top spot shows how investors price AI spending risk, and Nvidia's November 17 report is the next test. The model's case rests on a gap of about $150 billion and repeated swaps, which pull its number below the market's 90%.

The numbers

• The market's number (Polymarket) now: 90% (the market)
• DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
• The market closes: 1 Dec 2026
• How it resolves: This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
• Fitted on 2 days of history

How the model works

Apple and Nvidia are separated by roughly 3% of market value and have swapped the top spot repeatedly. With no ranked inputs, the model keeps the market's current chance in place and lets a reader add momentum or a pull back.

• With Apple and Nvidia within about $150 billion of each other and swapping the top spot, about 0 in log-odds of the last week's move in Apple's chance carries into next week. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

Sources

• Largest Company end of November 2026? · Apple: 90% on 10 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 72%
• Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 63%
• Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 71%
• Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 74%
• Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 86%
• Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 90%

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 90%.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:e724c5a7f44d · Updated 10 Nov 2026 05:55 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.