# Largest Company end of November 2026?

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 90% (10 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**Apple leads because it sits outside the AI trade, not because its lead is wide**

The top spot shows how investors price AI spending risk, and Nvidia's November 17 report is the next test. The model's case rests on a gap of about $150 billion and repeated swaps, which pull its number below the market's 90%.

## The numbers

- The market's number (Polymarket) now: 90% ([the market](https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-november-2026))
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 1 Dec 2026
- How it resolves: This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
- Fitted on 2 days of history

## How the model works

Apple and Nvidia are separated by roughly 3% of market value and have swapped the top spot repeatedly. With no ranked inputs, the model keeps the market's current chance in place and lets a reader add momentum or a pull back.

- With Apple and Nvidia within about $150 billion of each other and swapping the top spot, about 0 in log-odds of the last week's move in Apple's chance carries into next week. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

## Sources

- Largest Company end of November 2026? · Apple: 90% on 10 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 72%
- Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 63%
- Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 71%
- Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 74%
- Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 86%
- Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 90%

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

**What is the market's number?** The market's number (Polymarket) is 90%.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

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Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:e724c5a7f44d · Updated 10 Nov 2026 05:55 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.