What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Polymarket) is 38% (10 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 13 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

WTI trades on one Iran switch while recovering supply caps the upside

Oil's swings shape inflation and energy earnings beyond this market. The model's case rests on the $95 chance carrying over a small share of its latest move, from only three points (60%, 71%, 36%), so it is unproven.

The numbers

• The market's number (Polymarket) now: 38% (the market)
• DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
• The market closes: 1 Dec 2026
• How it resolves: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 13 Nov 2026.

How the model works

The chance of WTI touching $95 in November starts from the market's current value and adds a small amount of its own recent momentum, since the market has too few points for any input to be measured.

• About 0.1 in log-odds of the latest move in the chance of touching $95 carries over into next week. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

Sources

• What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? · ↑ $95: 38% on 10 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 13 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 70%
• Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 69%
• Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 71%
• Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 53%
• Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 31%

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

What is the market's number? The market's number (Polymarket) is 38%.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 13 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:fd156c595ca0 · Updated 10 Nov 2026 11:04 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.