# CPI YoY in November

DataSnack has a model of this question but not yet enough data to forecast it; the market's number (Kalshi) is 3.65% (7 Nov 2026). It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

## DataSnack's read

**November CPI is the first clean annual reading; energy sets how high**

The December 10 print is the first clean yearly reading after the shutdown gap and follows the December 9 Fed decision. The model's case rests on no CPI print landing before then, so the implied rate of 3.77% should hold.

## The numbers

- The market's number (Kalshi) now: 3.65% ([the market](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcpiyoy))
- DataSnack's model: not enough data to forecast yet
- The market closes: 10 Dec 2026
- How it resolves: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.
- Fitted on 1 days of history

## How the model works

No CPI print lands before the horizon, so the ladder's implied annual rate should mostly stay put. Energy is lifting headline inflation while core runs lower.

- The market's implied annual rate carries about 0 of its latest move forward over the next week, so with no new CPI print it mostly stays where it is. DataSnack's estimate, not yet tested on data.

## Sources

- CPI YoY in November (the market's number): 3.65% on 10 Nov 2026

## The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

- Made 5 Nov 2026 for 12 Nov 2026: 3.77%
- Made 6 Nov 2026 for 13 Nov 2026: 3.78%
- Made 7 Nov 2026 for 14 Nov 2026: 3.76%
- Made 8 Nov 2026 for 15 Nov 2026: 3.78%
- Made 9 Nov 2026 for 16 Nov 2026: 3.77%
- Made 10 Nov 2026 for 17 Nov 2026: 3.66%

## Questions

**What is DataSnack's forecast?** There isn't one yet: the model doesn't have enough data.

**What is the market's number?** The market's number (Kalshi) is 3.65%.

**How does the model work?** It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

**How accurate has it been?** It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 12 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

**Can I download the model?** Readers who cover this market can export the model as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

---

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:fde17a59bc0e · Updated 7 Nov 2026 09:45 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.