Where will 2-year Treasury yield be in seven days?

Where will 2-year Treasury yield be in seven days? DataSnack's model says 4.73% (13 Nov 2026); it is 4.73% now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

Short yields are tracking Fed patience and oil, not growth

The 2-year yield sets the cost of short-term borrowing, so its drift matters well beyond this market. The model's case rests on 1.4 of each shift in Fed hold odds and 0.00756 per dollar of crude, giving 4.73% in seven days.

The numbers

• 2-year Treasury yield now: 4.73%
• DataSnack's model, seven days from now: 4.73%
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.
• Replay on the last 41 days: off by 0.12 points against 0.10 points for standing still; closer on 17 of 41 days
• Fitted on 245 days of history

How the model works

The 2-year yield starts from its latest value. It adds the shift in the rates-path forecast, which captures how likely the Fed is to stay on hold, then adds the shift in the crude oil forecast, which captures the inflation pressure that pushes short yields up.

• About 1.4 of each shift in the odds that the Fed stays on hold carries into the 2-year yield a week later. DataSnack's author expected 0.3; the data say 1.4 ± 1.1, fitted on the same days the replay scores. A rough rule.
• About 0.00756 of each dollar move in the crude price forecast reaches the 2-year yield a week later, through inflation expectations. DataSnack's author expected 0.008; the data say 0.00756 ± under 0.01, fitted on the same days the replay scores. A rough rule.

Fed by

• Fed cuts in 2026: standing near zero (its number in seven days): About 1.4 of each shift in the odds that the Fed stays on hold carries into the 2-year yield a week later. DataSnack's author expected 0.3; the data say 1.4 ± 1.1, fitted on the same days the replay scores. A rough rule.
• WTI crude oil future (its number in seven days): About 0.00756 of each dollar move in the crude price forecast reaches the 2-year yield a week later, through inflation expectations. DataSnack's author expected 0.008; the data say 0.00756 ± under 0.01, fitted on the same days the replay scores. A rough rule.

Sources

• Fed cuts in 2026: standing near zero: DataSnack's number for seven days ahead: 98% on 13 Nov 2026
• WTI crude oil future: DataSnack's number for seven days ahead: $88.74/bbl on 13 Nov 2026
• 2-year Treasury yield (FRED): 4.73% on 10 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 13 Nov 2026 for 20 Nov 2026: 4.73%

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says 4.73% seven days from now.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 20 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:6d16bc96ba7c.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:6d16bc96ba7c · Updated 13 Nov 2026 05:33 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.