Where will Diesel at the pump, weekly be in seven days?

Where will Diesel at the pump, weekly be in seven days? DataSnack's model says $6.05/gal (12 Nov 2026); it is $6.13/gal now. It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

DataSnack's read

Diesel pump prices are sticky, and no input yet beats assuming no change

Diesel costs feed through freight and supply chains, so a steady $6.13/gal matters well beyond this market. The model's case rests on no input yet beating standing still: its 23¢ average miss over 60 days trails the 13¢ for no change.

The numbers

• Diesel at the pump, weekly now: $6.13/gal
• DataSnack's model, seven days from now: $6.05/gal
• Record: It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.
• Replay on the last 50 days: off by 20¢ against 14¢ for standing still; closer on 17 of 50 days
• Fitted on 156 days of history

How the model works

Retail diesel follows wholesale diesel: last week's move in heating oil futures, the diesel benchmark, carries into next week's pump price on top of where the pump price stands now.

• About 0.367 of each week's move in heating oil futures reaches the diesel pump price the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.38; the data say 0.367 ± 0.15, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data roughly.

Fed by

• Wholesale diesel future (its number now): About 0.367 of each week's move in heating oil futures reaches the diesel pump price the following week. DataSnack's author expected 0.38; the data say 0.367 ± 0.15, fitted on the same days the replay scores. Fits past data roughly.

Sources

• US diesel, retail (EIA): $6.13/gal on 9 Nov 2026
• Heating oil (ULSD) front-month future close, the diesel benchmark (Yahoo Finance): $4.21/gal on 11 Nov 2026

The record

It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026.

Waiting for their day:

• Made 12 Nov 2026 for 19 Nov 2026: $6.05/gal

Questions

What is DataSnack's forecast? DataSnack's model says $6.05/gal seven days from now.

How does the model work? It is an explicit equation fitted on data, with every link and source listed above. DataSnack's agents propose changes every night, and a replay against real data decides what is kept.

How accurate has it been? It has no graded forecasts yet; the first is graded on 19 Nov 2026. DataSnack's overall record is at https://datasnack.ai/accuracy.

Can I download the model? Readers who cover this model can export it as an Excel workbook with working formulas from its page. A free example workbook: https://datasnack.ai/site/labs/datasnack-tariff-mortgage-lab.xlsx.

Can I pull its numbers into a spreadsheet? Its feed is at https://datasnack.ai/feed/m/ch:b93f47a69aff.csv, with each forecast's error and standing still's beside it.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/m/ch:b93f47a69aff · Updated 12 Nov 2026 05:39 UTC · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.