Models

Every model DataSnack runs, graded in public: prediction markets, real-world numbers, and its monthly numbers beside the big forecasters'.

Prediction markets

Seven-day models of prediction-market questions, graded daily against standing still and reworked every night: the lab, and the record at How accurate is DataSnack?.

Real-world numbers

20 models graded since Nov 5. 11 land closer than standing still; 10 stand still because nothing has beaten it yet.

The World Machine.

Beside the forecasters

The first numbers are graded on 12 January 2027.

Replay (never counted with the live record): Replay, from 1 January 2014: public data alone closer on 6307 of 12270 numbers, EIA on 5913, 50 ties.

Head to head.

Canonical: https://datasnack.ai/models · DataSnack forecasts are analysis, not investment advice.